NHL trade board 4.0: New targets emerge in the calm before the storm

Six weeks out from the March 7 trade deadline, the market is still taking shape.

Activity has slowed after a flurry of moves earlier in the season, and it’s still unclear what direction a cluster of teams hovering around the Eastern Conference wild-card picture are going to go.

Another wrinkle comes in the form of the upcoming 4 Nations Face-Off, which will see the NHL schedule halted for 12 days in February and may push the bulk of trades into a two-week period leading into the deadline.

Consider this the calm before the storm.

As we take stock of what’s to come, it’s the return of the Big Board with nine new targets, including a few top-of-the-lineup stars. Players are listed by how closely they demand watching, based on their potential impact and the current amount of buzz around them.


Note: Net Ratings and market values are via Dom Luszczyszyn’s model and are projected for the full season based on statistics through Jan. 22. Goals saved above expected (GSAx) are via Evolving-Hockey, also through Jan. 22. Contract info is via CapWages.


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Miller is in possession of a full no-movement clause in his contract and likely will only waive it for U.S.-based teams in the East. That’s why a return to the New York Rangers, who drafted him 15th in 2011, makes so much sense. Miller is an all-situations forward who produces top-of-the-lineup offense while being counted on to kill penalties and log tough defensive minutes. His versatility is a major asset, as is his competitive nature, which is something he needs to rein in from time to time. Miller would immediately become a top-two or top-three forward on basically any team in the league.

Player type

All-situations top-liner

Nelson is a big, sturdy forward who has scored at a 35-goal pace across the past three seasons. He can be slotted as a second-line center or slide into a wing spot on the top line. As a pending unrestricted free agent, he’s exactly the kind of difference-maker contending teams would be falling over themselves to get their hands on if — and it remains a massive if — the Islanders fade from the playoff picture and choose to move him before the deadline.

Player type

Big veteran second-liner

The 2019 Conn Smythe Trophy winner has two more seasons remaining on his contract and has already indicated a desire to stay in Nashville. However, it might not ultimately be his call. The organization wants to do right by O’Reilly, but general manager Barry Trotz will be forced to make a decision if he gets a strong trade offer amid a disappointing season for the team. O’Reilly is an excellent two-way center who can be couned on to chip in offensively and has the ability to be a true difference-maker for a contender. As an added bonus, he’s a menace in the faceoff circle, too.

Player type

Top two-way center

What he lacks in size, he makes up in tenacity and feistiness. Gourde is a strong skater and two-way player who owns a couple of Stanley Cup rings from his time with Tampa Bay. His offensive numbers and ice time are down this season, but he’ll draw attention if Seattle fades from the playoff picture in the run-up to the trade deadline. One thing worth monitoring is Gourde’s health as he’s missed a couple of different stretches already this season.

Player type

Feisty playoff performer

Montreal’s acquisition of Alexandre Carrier in December likely sealed Savard’s fate. At a minimum, it made the veteran defenseman on an expiring contract much more expendable. Savard should have suitors as a depth option and penalty killer, and it certainly doesn’t hurt that he carries the experience of a Stanley Cup win with Tampa Bay in 2021 after being acquired midway through that season. He’s also a right shot who routinely sacrifices his body to block shots, both of which are attributes good teams can always use more of.

Player type

Veteran defensive defenseman

Rangy and reliable, there’s nothing flashy about Pettersson’s game. But he has proven in recent years that he can handle 20-plus minutes per night while helping drive play at even strength, and he should be able to slot in as a second-pairing defenseman on a competitive team. Penguins general manager Kyle Dubas has a big project on his hands, but Pettersson is his most attractive asset to peddle at this year’s deadline, and Dubas seems motivated to start turning over his roster. He is looking for young NHL players or prospects back in return, rather than draft picks.

Player type

Reliable second-pair defenseman

A Big Board mainstay, this may finally be the season Gibson finds his way back to a competitive team. He’s lost the No. 1 job in Anaheim to Lukáš Dostál and is inching ever closer to the end of a contract with two years remaining on it after this one. That’s been the biggest impediment to finding him a new home. While Gibson’s numbers in recent seasons don’t jump off the page in a positive way, they should be viewed with the understanding that he’s played behind some horrific defensive teams. He’s also had a major bounce-back performance so far this season. On a trade market with very few goaltending options available, Gibson has the highest ceiling.

Player type

Former ace in need of a fresh start

You can add his name to the long list of underperforming Bruins, but it’s worth noting Frederic is only months removed from an 18-goal, 40-point breakout campaign. He’s a big man who skates well and can effectively be deployed as a checker. With senior leadership in Boston acknowledging publicly that the team is considering becoming a seller ahead of the deadline, Frederic is a hot commodity.

Player type

Checker who can score

Now into his ninth NHL season of averaging at least 23 minutes per game, this all-situations defender is delivering strong play-driving results for a Blue Jackets team that has been more competitive than many were expecting this season. Still, no one is losing sight of the big picture in Columbus. The team has started engaging the pending unrestricted free agent on extension talks but doesn’t seem willing to break the bank. If someone steps up with an offer of a first-round pick for Provorov, the Blue Jackets will likely part with him.

Player type

All-situations defender

The Chicago Blackhawks aren’t believed to be shopping the veteran right-shot defenseman, but it hasn’t kept other teams from calling. Jones carries a sizeable cap hit for a lot of years, but he’s got a skillset that’s in short supply around the league. Jones is an all-around defender who can log major minutes and handle a shutdown role. He also holds a no-movement clause but may be enticed to waive it with Chicago still likely years away from completing its rebuild.

Player type

Major-minutes defenseman

The retooling Flyers are short on rental players to take to market in the lead-up to the deadline, but they could be compelled to part with the big, physical defenseman who has some term remaining. Ristolainen plays a rugged style best suited for third-pairing duty, and he’s taken meaningful steps forward over the past 18 months toward becoming a more reliable defender in his own zone. With a contract that stretches two seasons beyond this one, some salary retention might be needed to make a trade work.

Player type

Rugged veteran defenseman

With Laughton signed for one season beyond this one, the Flyers are under no pressure to trade him amid a campaign in which he’s scoring at nearly a 20-goal pace. But if a contender is willing to part with a first-round pick, they might do it. Laughton would be a bottom-six upgrade for a lot of contending teams. He’s a glue guy who kills penalties and plays with an edge.

Player type

Veteran glue guy

A relentless high-motor player who is enjoying a career season in Chicago, Donato is starting to attract some attention on the trade market. As a pending unrestricted free agent, he profiles as an attractive deadline rental who can bring versatility and depth. Donato appears to have made some strides with his skating this year and has the hands to bury offensive chances when he gets them.

Player type

High-motor depth player

On the younger side of Pittsburgh’s pending unrestricted free agents, O’Connor profiles as a bottom-six forward who plays a power game. Big and stong, he’s unafraid to finish a bodycheck or engage in a battle for the puck. While he shouldn’t be looked at to produce much offensively, O’Connor can kill penalties and make life difficult on the opposition at five-on-five.

Player type

Big, strong bottom-six forward

At least a couple of contending teams had identified Borgen as a solid deadline target and were left disappointed when the Rangers swooped in and got him in December. However, his stay on Broadway might be rather brief. Borgen is on an expiring contract, and this Rangers season doesn’t appear to be heading anywhere promising, so he may yet be flipped. A smart right-shot defenseman with good size and skating ability, Borgen has also historically been a strong shot suppressor on the penalty kill.

Player type

Penalty killer with size

A rough-and-tumble winger who boasts an impressive fight card, Olivier has caught the attention of at least a couple of teams currently eyeing potential depth forward options. The 27-year-old pending UFA has even managed to chip in more than his share of expected goals early this season. But what makes him most attractive is his size, strength and willingness to embrace an energy role. Olivier is built for playoff hockey and will have suitors if Columbus can’t get him signed to an extension.

Player type

Rough-and-tumble energy winger

All signs point to the pending unrestricted free agent winger getting dealt ahead of the deadline if the Kraken aren’t in the playoff chase. Tanev is known for playing a grindy game that wears on opponents, and he’s an excellent penalty killer who leads Seattle in short-handed ice time. He certainly doesn’t back down when faced with a contested piece of ice. As a bonus, he also comes with 46 games of playoff experience, too.

Player type

Grindy penalty-killing forward

Playing on an expiring contract, the depth center is having a career year at the perfect time. Evans appears poised to blow past previous career highs of 11 goals and 29 points. While the Canadiens like him, his surge in production may turn him into trade bait rather than someone they keep around with another contract. Evans isn’t overly big, but he’s a quick skater and effective penalty-killer. He’d be a quality fourth-line option for a contender.

Player type

Quality fourth-line option

The veteran right-shot winger remains a serious scoring threat into his 15th NHL season. He hit 30 goals in 2023-24 and is on pace to comfortably cruise past 20 this season. As a pending unrestricted free agent, Palmieri is an attractive rental option, especially with his willingness to battle his way to the hard areas of the ice. Not unlike the situation with teammate Brock Nelson, the only real question is if general manager Lou Lamoriello will willingly part with a valued member of his team, even if the Islanders seem destined for the draft lottery rather than a playoff race.

Player type

Veteran scorer

Traded from Edmonton to San Jose over the summer in a cap-clearing move, it’s hard to imagine the veteran right-shot defenseman finishing this campaign with the cellar-dwelling Sharks. Not only is he a pending unrestricted free agent, but he’s also shown himself capable of handling the rigors of playoff hockey during three runs with the Oilers. Most notably, he was an important part of the penalty kill that was a massive difference-maker for the Cup runners-up in the spring. While Ceci has his detractors, his blend of experience and defensive attributes should hold some appeal to teams looking for added depth before the playoffs.

Player type

Depth D and penalty killer

The Sabres certainly aren’t shopping the 23-year-old defenseman, but he may be the piece they have to put in play in order to make a significant shakeup. Byram is an elite skater who can log big minutes and should still have his best and most productive seasons ahead. He’s also due for a new contract after the season as a pending restricted free agent. The Sabres control his rights, but they’re a team with a lot of money and years already tied up in their blue line, so decisions are looming.

Player type

Blue-chip prospect

Reliable right-shot centers who can fill a depth role always have currency come deadline time. Bjugstad has shown that before — getting traded in 2022 from Arizona to Edmonton in a deal that brought back a third-round pick and defenseman Michael Kesselring — and he’s trending toward being that kind of asset again for Utah HC. He’s a reliable play-driver who profiles as an ideal bottom-six utility man.

Player type

Bottom-six utility man

The alarm bells started to sound when Hall was scratched for a game this season. He’s struggled to regain form after missing most of last season due to a knee injury, but NHL Edge data shows that one of his strongest attributes — his powerful skating stride — remains. Hall’s top speed of 22.46 miles per hour is well above league average. With the Blackhawks on a trajectory for another spin in the draft lottery and with Hall being a pending unrestricted free agent in the later stages of his career, the veteran winger likely will be on the move again.

Player type

Aging former MVP

With Granlund producing at nearly a point per game across the past two seasons in San Jose, the biggest question for any potential suitor here is fit. As in: Where does Granlund fit on a deeper roster? He’s been the Sharks’ top-line center, and they may still make a pitch to lock him up to an extension. That appears to be a 50/50 proposition right now. If he ends up on the trade market instead, Granlund brings extensive playoff experience and versatility. Not only is he a forward with a strong track record of power-play production, but he also kills penalties.

Player type

Proven scorer and playoff vet

A veteran left-shot defenseman with two Stanley Cup championships on his resume, Dumoulin profiles as a nice depth addition for a contender. Big and mobile, he can be trusted to move the puck effectively while handling a steady workload. He’s not known for being overly physical, but he won’t be pushed around. The 33-year-old is on an expiring contract and should be an easy piece for the Ducks to ship out before the deadline.

Player type

Depth defenseman with Cup rings

A mountain of a man at 6-foot-6 and 232 pounds, McCarron may find himself in demand since he’s playing on an affordable cap hit for one more season. He’s a right shot who can kill penalties and win some draws. Even if he’s limited offensively, there’s value to be found in a fourth-liner who plays his style of game.

Player type

Mountainous depth forward

Another giant depth forward at 6-foot-5 and 220 pounds, Brazeau traveled the long road to the NHL and has earned a raise on his league-minimum $775,000 contract. He’s already hit the 10-goal mark for the first time in his career this season. Brazeau is a hard-working player who doesn’t hesitate to finish his checks.

Player type

Late-blooming power forward

Lindgren is poised to potentially walk as a free agent on July 1 and also has had a hand in some of the Rangers’ defensive struggles this season. That’s not a great combination. A frequent partner of former Norris Trophy winner Adam Fox, Lindgren has still seen his team take on water during his five-on-five minutes. However, he’s still considered a high-character player who doesn’t shy away from physical play and is at an age where he likely hasn’t yet hit his ceiling.

Player type

Struggling veteran

A minute-munching, shot-blocking defenseman who has drawn trade interest in the past, Ferraro is a valuable commodity. Signed through the end of next season at a $3.25 million cap hit, the 26-year-old is a strong puck mover and penalty killer with a competitive streak to match.

Player type

Minute-munching shot-blocker

Robertson has bit his lip since a summer trade request went unfulfilled by the Leafs, but the situation could still come to a head before the deadline. He has at least helped his trade value with some more productive outings since a brief string of scratches in December. However, in the big picture, Robertson hasn’t gained much traction under new head coach Craig Berube, and he may still get his desired fresh start once the Leafs begin looking at other acquisitions.

Player type

Diminutive winger who can score

Nyquist has found a nice home in Nashville and might prefer a new contract to getting dealt away as a rental. That will leave the Predators with a decision in a season in which they appear destined to finish well outside the playoffs. Nyquist is coming off a 75-point season at age 34 and is one of the best chips they have to play at the deadline. He is a talented playmaker who remains a strong skater and isn’t showing any obvious signs of slowing down.

Player type

Veteran playmaker

With the focus in Vancouver having shifted to finding a landing spot for J.T. Miller, it appears Pettersson is safe for the time being. Still, it’s notable that the Canucks engaged in discussions on him with other teams. An elite offensive play-driver in the prime of his career, Pettersson is in a tier of player that rarely gets traded in the NHL. But he’s also among the league’s highest-paid forwards, and his production has cratered since signing a $92.8 million, eight-year extension in March. Until the shoe drops on Miller, a Pettersson deal can’t be ruled out entirely.

Market value

$10.3 million

Player type

Superstar scorer

(Top graphic: Demetrius Robinson / The Athletic, with photos of Seth Jones, J.T. Miller and Ryan O’Reilly by Jeff Vinnick, Michael Reaves and George Walker IV / Getty Images)

Fuente

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